Epidemic Curve of COVID-19 New Cases

Epidemic Curve with Moving Averages on New Cases

Dr Saiful Safuan Md Sani https://saifulsafuan.com (Advanced Acute Internal Medicine Society Malaysia & Department of Medicine Hospital Kuala Lumpur)https://aaims.co
2020-04-12

“To bring the pandemic to an end countries have to bend the curve – they have to achieve a plateau then decline in the number of daily cases.” - Our World in Data

The chart below illustrates that a 10-day period is the best time frame to use to decide on the effectiveness of the MCO strategy in Malaysia.

The 10-day moving averages curve is more ‘stable’ or less erratic compared to the 5-day moving averages curve.

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